Has violent crime trended downward in North Dakota over the last decade?

Has violent crime trended downward in North Dakota over the last decade?
Photo by Maxim Hopman on Unsplash

No.

Violent crime in North Dakota has increased slightly over the past decade, according to FBI Crime Data Explorer statistics.

The North Dakota News Cooperative is partnering with Gigafact to produce timely fact briefs, which are quick, evidence-based fact checks about trending claims relevant to North Dakota.

In 2015, the state’s violent crime rate was 1,934 incidents per 100,000 people. By 2024, it had risen to 2,046 per 100,000, an increase of about 6 percent. The rate peaked in 2020 at 2,057 per 100,000, before falling slightly in recent years.

The FBI defines violent crime as murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault.

While the national violent crime rate has fallen dramatically since the 1990s, North Dakota’s rate has risen during the same period, driven mostly by increases in aggravated assaults.

Experts attribute long-term national declines to improved policing, community programs, and demographic shifts, though recent trends vary by state.

This fact brief is in response to online conversations such as this one.

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